According to the National Weather Service, 466 tornadoes have struck since the beginning of the year. That’s the highest number since they started keeping track in 1950.
Archiv: Wetter / weather
Death toll rises to at least 55 as freezing temperatures and heavy snow wallop swaths of U.S.
Stretching from the Great Lakes near Canada to the Rio Grande along the Mexican border, the storm has killed at least 55 people as of Monday morning, according to an NBC News tally. The deaths were recorded in 12 states: Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Wisconsin.
Cold Records Shattered Across Canada, Driving Energy Usage To All-Time Highs; Extreme Freeze Sweeps U.S.; Blizzards Hit Hawaii; + Wintry Weather Traps 300 Oil Workers On North Sea Rig
(December 21, 2022)
As hinted at above, Mauna Loa began erupting on Nov 27 and stopped on Dec 13.
It was the first time it has actively erupted since 1984 (solar minimum of cycle 20) — and is a sign of the times…
Volcanic eruptions are one of the key climatic forcings driving Earth into its next bout of global cooling. They have been shown to increase in both number and explosivity during times of prolonged solar decline, which is thought to be due to an influx of cosmic rays (CRs) penetrating/exciting silica-rich magma. During solar mins the Sun’s magnetic field weakens and the outward pressure of the solar wind decreases, which allows more CRs to enter the inner solar system, including our planet’s atmosphere.
Cold Wave Grips East Asia, Felling All-Time Snowfall Records Across Japan; Historic Snow In Moscow; + Christmas Freeze: Extreme Cold/Snow To Blast North America Over The Holidays
(December 19, 2022)
The COLD TIMES are returning, North America, in line with historically low solar activity.
Death toll from winter storm rises to at least 31
The storm brought hurricane-force winds and created whiteout conditions as it battered the area. A bomb cyclone, which happens when atmospheric pressure drops sharply in a strong storm, developed over the Great Lakes.
The storm has sent temperatures well below freezing in much of the country.
The intensity of the heat lifting north out of Spain & Portugal is simply staggering.
The first Red Extreme heat warning issued.
Fri 15 Jul 2022
For the first time temperatures of 40°C have been forecast in the UK and the Met Office has issued the first ever Red warning for exceptional heat.
Exceptional heat is expected to affect a large part of England early next week, with temperatures likely in the high 30s C in some places and perhaps even reaching 40°C.
Lauterbach warnt vor Hitzewelle, die es nicht gibt
Ganz offen gestanden – ich suchte zuerst den Hinweis darauf, dass es sich um Satire handelt, als ich bei den geschätzten Kollegen von Achgut heute folgenden Vorspann las: „Der Bundesgesundheitsminister hat eindringlich vor einer Mega-Hitzewelle mit Todesgefahr für viele Menschen gewarnt, aber der Deutsche Wetterdienst weiß nichts davon.“
Das kann nicht ernst gemeint sein, war meine erste Reaktion. Doch nach ein paar Sekunden hatte ich mich gefangen. Schließlich ist mir bewusst: Bei Lauterbach – und nicht nur bei ihm – ist heute nichts so absurd, dass es nicht der Realität entsprechen könnte.
Solar Activity Forecast for the Next Decade
(12.06.2019)
The results show that the next Solar Cycle will start in 2020 and reach a maximum in 2025.Cycle 25 is expected to be even weaker than the current solar cycle.
According to this forecast, upcoming solar activity will be the weakest in the last 200 years.
From New Mexico to New England: More Than 100 Million Americans Under ‘Cold Weather Warnings’, + AGW/COVID Cults
So-called ‘climate experts’ are pointing to this year’s wild temperature swings as the direct impact of “global climate change” — but there is a far more likely culprit that is being willfully ignored: The Sun, the source of our climate system’s energy, is currently in a historically weak state–a fact nobody is disputing. Frustratingly though, investigating the impact such reduced solar output could have on the climate (via the weakening of the jet streams, among other forcings) has been labelled heresy, and there are very few academics left with the gumption to openly discuss it, let alone study it–not that they’ed ever receive funding.
Solar Cycle 25 Progressing Similarly to 24, + Fairbanks sees Record-Breaking Snowfall
(October 6, 2021)
The official forecast by the NOAA/NASA Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel (made in 2019, and visualized by the red line above) called for a weak cycle 25, peaking in July 2025. And while things are currently tracking slightly ahead of schedule, NOAA don’t believe that the cycle will peak any higher than SC24. Instead, they simply see the peak arriving earlier, in late-2024 (rather than mid-2025). If this plays out it would of course mean an earlier start to Solar Cycle 26, too …
NYC Homecoming Concert Canceled Due to Hurricane
The remainder of We Love NYC: The Homecoming Concert has been canceled due to severe weather caused by Hurricane Henri.
Sechster Klimareport des IPCC enttäuscht auf ganzer Linie
Genauso kurios ist, dass der Bericht nun beim Extremwetter ziemlich sicher eine menschengemachte Komponente sieht. Das ist schon ziemlich verrückt, denn die meisten Extremwetterarten besitzen in den letzten 150 Jahren gar keinen Trend. Und die Modelle von Friederike Otto und Mitstreitern scheitern regelmäßig bei der Aufgabe, die Extremwetterentwicklung der letzten vorindustriellen Jahrtausende abzubilden. Mit diesen fehlerhaften Modellen wird dann die „Attribution“ also Zuordnung von Mensch vs. Natur vorgenommen. Das ist wie Fahren ohne Führerschein. Der AR6 behandelt das unwahrscheinliche RCP 8.5-Emissionsszenario als wenn es eine plausible Möglichkeit wäre. Ein schwerer Fehler, der Politiker und andere Nichtspezialisten fehlinformiert. Nun wird die Luft dünn für den IPCC, denn mit einer ergebnisoffenen, neutralen Zusammenfassung des Wissensstandes hat der AR6 nichts zu tun. Nur die EINE Seite des wissenschaftlichen Meinungsspektrums ist enthalten. Kritiker durften von vorneherein nicht mitschreiben. Sie konnten als Gutachter ihren Frust abladen und ihre Kritik aufschreiben. Die landete jedoch direkt im Papierkorb. Denn berücksichtigt wurde davon nichts. Die Gutachterpolizei („Review Editors“) sind nämlich vom gleichen politischen Gremium gewählt worden wie die Autoren, dem IPCC Vorstand. Und der wird von den Regierungen gewählt, vor allem den grün-geprägten Umwelministerien der Länder.
The IPCC: Where‘s the Science?
(Mar 11, 2014)
The UN‘s climate panel claims to be a ‚scientific body.‘ But it‘s actually in the business of writing reports that rely on thousands of judgment calls. It‘s time to stop pretending that fallible human judgment is ‚science.‘
3 Things Scientists Need to Know About the IPCC
(01.09.2015)
The bottom line is that this is a week of naked political horse trading that goes on behind closed doors. Journalists are not allowed to witness what takes place, which is why we’ve been looking at official IPCC photos here. This is what they permit us to see.
It’s only after the diplomats have haggled over this Summary – paragraph by paragraph – that the final version gets officially released at a press conference.
The world is then told that science has spoken. But what’s just happened has nothing to do with science. Scientific truth is not determined in the dead of night by UN-level negotiations. On what planet would such an approach make scientific sense?
But the bad news doesn’t stop there. There’s actually a step in the IPCC process in which the original, lengthy report gets amended so that it conforms to the politically-negotiated Summary. I am not making this up.
Cop26 president: UN climate crisis report is a ‘wake-up call for the world’
He urged “all the major emitters to play their part”, adding the G20 group of nations “is going to be absolutely key in terms of our 1.5-degree future”.
Mr Sharma said countries who are attending the international Cop26 climate talks in Glasgow in November “must send a clear market signal to get the transition moving faster”.
‚Code red for humanity‘: UN report gives stark warning on climate change, says wild weather events will worsen
– Evidence shows that carbon dioxide is the main driver of climate change, the report says.
– Almost 200 countries have signed up to the Paris climate accord.
– The report comes three months before a major climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland.
Drones are zapping clouds with electricity to create rain in United Arab Emirates project
Similar forms of cloud seeding have existing for decades. But the process has typically used salt flairs and has come with concerns about the environment, expenses and effectiveness, according to the Desert Research Institute and CNN.
So the UAE is now testing a new method that has drones fly into clouds to give them an electric shock to trigger rain production, the BBC and CNN have previously reported.
Copernicus (Erdbeobachtungsprogramm)
Copernicus, zuvor Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES, deutsch: Globale Umwelt- und Sicherheitsüberwachung) genannt, ist ein im Jahr 1998 gemeinsam von der Europäischen Kommission (EK) und der Europäischen Weltraumorganisation (ESA) gegründetes Erdbeobachtungsprogramm. Copernicus stellt eine Infrastruktur für Erdbeobachtung und Dienstleistungen der Geoinformation bereit. Auf der Grundlage von Erdbeobachtungs- und Informationstechnologien wurde durch Copernicus ein unabhängiges europäisches Beobachtungssystem geschaffen, das seit 2014 in Betrieb ist.
‘It Is All Connected’: Extreme Weather in the Age of Climate Change
(today)
The question is, how much did climate change affect this specific storm and the resulting floods?
A complete answer will have to await analyses, almost certain to be undertaken given the magnitude of the disaster, that will seek to learn if climate change made this storm more likely, and if so, by how much.
But for many scientists the trend is clear. “The answer is yes — all major weather these days is being affected by the changes in climate,” said Donald J. Wuebbles, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Illinois.
Convention on the prohibition of military or any hostile use of environmental modification techniques, 10 December 1976.
Understanding relating to article II
It is the understanding of the Committee that the following examples are illustrative of phenomena that could be caused by the use of environmental modification techniques as defined in article II of the Convention: earthquakes; tsunamis; an upset in the ecological balance of a region; changes in weather patterns (clouds, precipitation, cyclones of various types and tornadic storms); changes in climate patterns; changes in ocean currents; changes in the state of the ozone layer; and changes in the state of the ionosphere.
China plans rapid expansion of ‚weather modification‘ efforts
(3 Dec 2020)
For six decades, the communist nation has deployed military aircraft and anti-aircraft guns to lace clouds with silver iodide or liquid nitrogen to thicken water droplets to the point where they fall as snow or rain. The technology has mostly been used at a local level to alleviate droughts or clear skies ahead of major events, such as the 2008 Olympics or last October’s 70th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China.
China plans rapid expansion of ‚weather modification‘ efforts
For six decades, the communist nation has deployed military aircraft and anti-aircraft guns to lace clouds with silver iodide or liquid nitrogen to thicken water droplets to the point where they fall as snow or rain. The technology has mostly been used at a local level to alleviate droughts or clear skies ahead of major events, such as the 2008 Olympics or last October’s 70th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China.
Was called a ‘conspiracy theorist’ since 2017 for reporting on cloud seeding and solar geoengineering and now China will manufacture weather in a region the size of India. Threatens ‘catastrophic warming’.
Who holds IP? @BillGates
, @Harvard
.
Equatorial solar rotation and its relation to climatic changes
(29. September 1977)
During the years from 1965 to 1976, the magnitude of the solar rotation speed averaged annually showed a good inverse correlation with the annual relative sunspot numbers. It is suggested that this variation of the equatorial solar rotation speed may be responsible for the earth‘s present unusual climatic conditions. A similarity concerning the low sunspot activity for 1976 and the year 1643, just before the beginning of the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) with its very severe climatic conditions, is pointed out. It appears, therefore, likely that the present unusual climatic conditions will remain as long as the solar activity continues to decrease.
Periodic variations of solar radiation – a possible source of solar activity-weather effects
(May 1979)
It is suggested that long-lasting co-rotating active longitudes on the Sun may be associated with small variations of the solar radiation reaching the Earth. The oscillations have a basic period of about 27 days and are not expected to have amplitudes greater than 0.1%. They result in a time-varying heat input to the Earth‘s continents and, since the land exchanges heat with the overlying atmosphere, this oscillatory heating process generates large-scale planetary waves, mainly of the Rossby-Haurwitz type, in the atmosphere.
The effect of the 11-year solar-cycle on the temperature in the upper-stratosphere and mesosphere: Part II numerical simulations and the role of planetary waves
(July 2005)
The numerical simulations presented here suggest a mechanism by which a small change induced by the solar forcing can generate a large atmospheric response.
Rossby waves and extreme weather
(15.4.2016)
Learn how giant airstreams high in the sky get trapped sometimes – leading to devastating weather extremes on the ground. Copyright: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK and Climate Media Factory. This video was supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF).
Merkel and Macron mark the end of the First World War One one hundred years ago with a solemn ceremony in Compiegne. Trump decided not to go to a ceremony at a US cemetery near Paris because the weather is a bit rainy
Declining solar activity linked to recent warming
(6.10.2010) An analysis of satellite data challenges the intuitive idea that decreasing solar activity cools Earth, and vice versa. In fact, solar forcing of Earth’s surface climate seems to work the opposite way around — at least during the current Sun cycle. (…)
Contrary to expectations, the net amount of solar energy reaching Earth’s troposphere — the lowest part of the atmosphere — seems to have been larger in 2007 than in 2004, despite the decline in solar activity over that period.
The spectral changes seem to have altered the distribution of ozone molecules above the troposphere.
Wild weather: Hurricanes, tsunamis and quakes threaten millions
(today) A POWERFUL series of quakes, hurricanes, tsunamis and other storm systems are rattling the globe in the wake of almost a thousands deaths in Indonesia.
Rossby waves and extreme weather
(15.4.2016) Learn how giant airstreams high in the sky get trapped sometimes – leading to devastating weather extremes on the ground. Copyright: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK and Climate Media Factory. This video was supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF). PIK research on the subject: – Evidence for wave resonance as a key mechanism for generating high-amplitude quasi-stationary waves in boreal Summer
Natural disasters hit Indonesia and Japan, leaving hundreds dead
The earthquake and tsunami that struck Indonesia Friday, reportedly took more than 800 lives, with the death toll to expected to rise. Over in Japan, the powerful Typhoon Trami swept the country, killing 2 people and inuring at least 120 others. KIM Da-mi updates us on the situations. Indonesia‘s disaster agency says the latest death toll from Friday‘s earthquake and tsunami stands at 832.
Cosmic Influence on the Sun-Earth Environment
(Dezember 2008) Since the early days of human civilization we have looked at the sky and tried to understand the environment of the Earth and the Universe [1, 2, 3, 4, and 5]. We are continuously collecting data for different environmental parameters. Sudden heat or cold waves, tornados, erratic rainfall and snowfall are being observed and their forewarning has been attempted. Efforts have been made to understand the influence of stars and the Sun, which, although they are distant objects in space, can influence the environment of the Earth. Extragalactic cosmic rays measured as neutron counting rate, represent an energy spectrum, which is being received by the solar system from the distant stars; the particles of cosmic rays are atom –nuclei with almost light velocity [6, 7]. The effects of the Sun on the environment of the Earth were found to be modulated by the geomagnetic field and the ionizing potential of the cosmic rays [8]. Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) and its effects on the thermosphere, ionosphere and atmosphere have been studied. During Earth directed CME a beam of electrons (plasma) is pumped towards the Earth [9]. This beam of electrons is highly conductive and generates an electric field that is transmitted to Earth‘s natural plasmosphere and ionosphere. This thin layer of changed electric field further influences the ionosphere and atmosphere of the earth [24]. Since a beam of electrons is carried by an electric current, a magnetic disturbance would be produced. Starbursts are caused by a special variety of neutron star known as a magnetar. These fast-spinning, compact stellar bodies create intense magnetic fields that trigger explosions, which are known as starbursts. Starbursts cause the Sun to develop low Planetary Indices (Kp) and low Electron flux (E-flux) conditions for the Sun-Earth Environment.
(…)
If the electron flux from the sun is low, with the subsequent rise in cosmic rays simultaneously anomalous snowfall and lowering of the atmospheric temperature has been observed. It would be possible to understand the movement of clouds and snowfall, as well as atmospheric moisture, if we could efficiently calculate the influence of space weather and cosmic influence on the thermosphere and atmosphere of the Earth [12]. Based on the same hypothesis it was found that an abnormal rise and sudden fall in E-flux, Kp index and atmospheric temperature has the possibility of triggering earthquakes in active fault areas of the Earth due to temporary changes in the magnetic field of the Earth. The whole process was expressed as a precursor of earthquakes in active fault areas.
Declining solar activity linked to recent warming
(6.10.2010) An analysis of satellite data challenges the intuitive idea that decreasing solar activity cools Earth, and vice versa. In fact, solar forcing of Earth‘s surface climate seems to work the opposite way around — at least during the current Sun cycle. (…)
Contrary to expectations, the net amount of solar energy reaching Earth‘s troposphere — the lowest part of the atmosphere — seems to have been larger in 2007 than in 2004, despite the decline in solar activity over that period.
The spectral changes seem to have altered the distribution of ozone molecules above the troposphere.
On the solar cycle dependence of winds and planetary waves as seen from mid-latitude D1 LF mesopause region wind measurements
(März 1998)
Two mechanisms of the development of the wave are discussed: Salby (1981a,b) proposes that the quasi-2-day wave is a resonant ampliÆcation of the antisymmetric (3,3)-normal mode. Plumb (1983), however, suggests that the wave appears due to baroclinic instability near the summer stratospheric wind jet. The climatology of the quasi-2-day wave at Collm was described in detail by Jacobi et al. (1997c), who also pointed out that an influence of the 11-year solar cycle on its amplitude could be seen.
In the following, mesopause wind data measured at the Collm Observatory of the University of Leipzig are investigated with respect to a possible solar cycle dependence.
Rossby waves and extreme weather
(15.4.2016) Learn how giant airstreams high in the sky get trapped sometimes – leading to devastating weather extremes on the ground. Copyright: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK and Climate Media Factory. This video was supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF). PIK research on the subject: – Evidence for wave resonance as a key mechanism for generating high-amplitude quasi-stationary waves in boreal Summer
Scientists link California droughts, floods to distinctive atmospheric waves
(6.4.2017) Wavenumber-5 consists of five pairs of alternating high- and low-pressure features that encircle the globe about six miles (10 kilometers) above the ground. It is a type of atmospheric phenomenon known as a Rossby wave, a very large-scale planetary wave that can have strong impacts on local weather systems by moving heat and moisture between the tropics and higher latitudes as well as between oceanic and inland areas and by influencing where storms occur.
The slow-moving Rossby waves at times become almost stationary. When they do, the result can be persistent weather patterns that often lead to droughts, floods, and heat waves.
Planetary waves, first found on Earth, are discovered on Sun
(27.3.2017) for a brief period, from 2011 to 2014, scientists had the unprecedented opportunity to see the Sun‘s entire atmosphere at once. During that time, observations from NASA‘s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), which sits between the Sun and Earth, were supplemented by measurements from NASA‘s Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) mission, which included two spacecraft orbiting the Sun. Collectively, the three observatories provided a 360-degree view of the Sun until contact was lost with one of the STEREO spacecraft in 2014. McIntosh and his co-authors mined the data collected during the window of full solar coverage to see if the large-scale wave patterns might emerge.
„By combining the data from all three satellites we can see the entire Sun, and that‘s important for studies like this because you want the measurements to all be at the same time,“ said Dean Pesnell, SDO project scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland. „They’re pushing the boundary of how we use solar data to understand the interior of the Sun and where the magnetic field of the Sun comes from.“
Study: Hole in ionosphere is caused by sudden stratospheric warming
(6.8.2018) Geospace research has long established that certain changes in the atmosphere are caused by the sun’s radiation, through mechanisms including solar wind, geomagnetic storms, and solar flares. (…)
One of the more scientifically interesting large-scale atmospheric events is called a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), in which enormous waves in the troposphere — the lowermost layer of the atmosphere in which we live — propagate upward into the stratosphere. These planetary waves are generated by air moving over geological structures such as large mountain ranges; once in the stratosphere, they interact with the polar jet streams.