Is Pennsylvania a must-win for Biden?
No, not quite. It is close to being a must-win for Trump, who has only a 2 percent chance of winning the Electoral College if he loses Pennsylvania. Biden, however, has a bit more margin for error. He’d have a 30 percent chance if he lost Pennsylvania, which isn’t great but is also higher than, say, Trump’s overall chances on Election Day 2016.
President Trump is staging three campaign events in Pennsylvania on Monday in a bid to bolster support in a state he narrowly carried four years ago, while Vice President Pence is being dispatched to Minnesota despite a fresh outbreak of the coronavirus that has infected his chief of staff and others who work with him.
Democratic nominee Joe Biden has not advertised any campaign events on Monday but plans to touch down in several battleground states in the days ahead.
Biden returned to his native Pennsylvania for socially distanced drive-in rallies in Bucks County and Luzerne County, two areas crucial to winning the important state, where he hammered Trump for his irresponsible handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Meanwhile, Trump visited North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin, holding large in-person rallies where thousands of people crowded together without masks.
Both 2020 candidates have lavished attention to the natural gas industry in Pennsylvania, the likely tipping-point state in the Electoral College.
Campaign manager Bill Stepien told reporters they would “put the nail in the coffin” for Biden in Pennsylvania, and possibly Ohio and Minnesota.
Biden and Trump are also locked in a tight race in Texas, a state Democrats have long dreamed of taking but one in which the comments could prove damaging.
“Fracking has to continue because we need a transition,” the former vice-president said during a recent meeting with voters in Pittsburgh, close to the heart of swing state Pennsylvania’s prolific shale gas industry. There’s “no rationale to eliminate, right now, fracking”.
Trump won the presidency in 2016 despite Clinton receiving almost 3m more votes, all because of the electoral college. How does the system work?
Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas), whose 2018 Senate campaign was credited with a massive surge in turnout across the state, on Sunday called for former Vice President Joe Biden to visit Texas.
„Texas could win this for Biden and end the nightmare on election night. Texans are doing their part. We’d sure like to see @JoeBiden visit us and spend more resources here,“ wrote O’Rourke on Twitter.
When the poll only included those who were certain, Trump had a slight lead of 46 percent to 44 percent. The poll was conducted between October 15 and October 18 among 933 likely Texas voters.
The poll included 180 respondents who said they had already cast ballots in early voting, which began in Texas on October 13. Among those who already voted, 57 percent said they had voted for Biden, compared to 41 percent for the president.
This week’s Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll found 49 percent of likely voters in Pennsylvania backed Biden, while 45 percent in the state supported the president. Biden’s 4 percentage point lead falls right on the edge of the poll’s margin of error.
Last week’s poll showed the former vice president leading Trump by 7 percentage points, with Biden getting 51 percent compared to the president’s 44 percent.
The Pennsylvania average shows Biden’s largest lead. The Democratic nominee averages 52% support to Trump’s 43% in polling conducted between September 20 and October 5. In both Wisconsin and Michigan, the averages show Biden with 51% support to 43% for Trump.
– Michigan (543 respondents): 52% Biden, 43% Trump, 4% other, 2% unsure
– Ohio (586): 50% Trump, 47% Biden, 3% other, 1% unsure
– Pennsylvania (600): 52% Biden, 45% Trump, 2% other, 1% unsure
– Wisconsin (560): 53% Biden, 45% Trump, 2% other, 1% unsure
The poll shows both Biden and Trump garnering 48 percent of support among likely voters in the Sunshine State, while another 4 percent are unsure of how they will vote.
According to a new Quinnipiac University poll, Biden and Trump are essentially tied in the Buckeye State. The survey of more than 1,100 likely voters in Ohio shows Biden at 48% and Trump at 47%. Four percent are undecided.
Most states use a “winner-take-all” method when it comes to electoral votes, meaning the candidate who wins the popular vote in the state gets all of its electoral votes as well. But Nebraska and Maine use a different method, in which two electoral votes are distributed to the popular-vote winner in the state, in addition to one electoral vote to whoever wins the popular vote in each of the state’s congressional districts.
Neither Biden or Democratic vice presidential nominee Sen. Kamala Harris have campaigned in person in Ohio during the general election. That’s a factor the president zeroed in on as he also slammed the latest polling in the state.
“I just saw that we’re tied in Ohio. I don’t think so,” Trump said Monday at a rally in the Toledo suburb of Swanton. “They’re not even campaigning in Ohio, come to think of it. Now, they’re fake polls. They’re almost as fake as the writers themselves. They’re all fake.”
Trump leads Biden 48 to 46 percent, according to a CBS News poll released Sunday. The president’s lead is within the poll’s 3.5 percentage point margin of error.
Trump built on his slim lead over Biden, adding to his 1-point lead over the former vice president in a similar poll from July, according to CBS.
– Florida remains a close battleground state in the presidential election
– The current margin between Trump and Biden is just 2 percentage points
– Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads Trump up by 2 points in the Sunshine State
– Trump narrowly won Florida by just over 100,000 votes in 2016 against Clinto
The RealClearPolitics average had Clinton +6.5 in Wisconsin on Election Day in 2016. In August of that year, she had been +11.5. Not a single poll featured on RCP during the entire campaign showed Donald Trump winning the state. Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden has a +3.5 average right now — which is to say, he is underperforming Clinton in the middle of a pandemic and ensuing economic collapse. This is the case in several battleground states
‚If I were running the campaign, there’s no way Joe wouldn’t have been in Kenosha,‘ said one. Another added that Biden’s campaign were ’not allowing‘ people in who hadn’t worked for Hillary
Biden also will meet with Blake’s father, Jacob Blake Sr., and other Blake family members during the visit, according to a family spokesperson and campaign official.
Aber wo sind Joe Biden und Kamala Harris? Mit ihren Videobotschaften werden sie nichts erreichen, wenn gleichzeitig die Fernsehbilder den Präsidenten mit beiden Beinen in den abgebrannten Ruinen zeigen.
Nicht umsonst war der Präsident nach Wisconsin gereist. In dem Swing State gilt es, möglicherweise wahlentscheidende Wählerstimmen zu sammeln.
Während des Präsidentenbesuchs blieb die Lage in der Stadt friedlich. Am Straßenrand hatten sich sowohl seine Anhänger versammelt als auch Demonstranten, die Schilder hoch hielten, auf denen stand: Justice for Jacob.
Is Biden out of touch with the working class? Babbit Mayor Andrea Zupancich speaks out.
If Trump has a path forward in Minnesota, it will likely rely on an improvement in the Twin Cities suburbs, combined with spiking turnout in rural areas of the state. It’s a tall task, but there is reason for Democrats to be concerned. By the party’s own estimates, there are 250,000 white, non-college-educated men in Minnesota who are eligible to vote but aren’t registered, a rich target for Trump.
I want Trump to lose. I think that if Democratic leaders hadn’t spent 4 years screaming about 2016 & Russia, they’d be in a better position for 2020.
President Trump closed the gap on presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead among registered voters in a CNN poll published Sunday evening. And across 15 battleground states, Biden leads by 49 to 48 points ahead over Trump.