Nachfolgend unserer Prognose, dass Donald Trump bei den Präsidentschaftswahlen in 2020 wiedergewählt wird, hier die Szenarien, wie die Wahl eines Kandidaten der „Demokratischen Partei“ oder eines unabhängigen Kandidaten Bernie Sanders zum U.S.-Präsidenten realistisch gewesen wäre (was aber nicht passieren wird).
Daily Archives: 13. Juni 2018
Prognose: Trump wird 2020 wieder U.S.-Präsident
Donald Trump wird am 3. November 2020 wieder zum Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika gewählt werden. Dem folgt die Erosion der „Demokratischen Partei“ und die Gründung einer neuen Partei.
Die Prognose im Einzelnen, mit verschiedenen Szenarien bei immer gleichem Ergebnis:
Mitt Romney predicts Donald Trump will win in 2020 ‚solidly.‘ Is he right?
Much of Romney‘s calculus is based on his belief that Democrats will ultimately choose „someone who is really out of the mainstream of American thought.“ And they might! But the 2020 Democratic field is totally in flux at the moment and it‘s literally impossible to anticipate who might eventually be the nominee and why.
There is NO PATH to political revolution inside the Democratic Party.
That scene from War Games
Where we learn that the only way to win in Nuclear War is not to play.
Winners and Losers: Trump is the big winner in Tuesday’s primaries
Tuesday brought another set of primaries across the country — in Maine, South Carolina, Nevada, North Dakota and Virginia — and another set of surprises. Here are the night‘s winners and losers.
Regierungspartei feiert offenbar klaren Sieg bei Kommunalwahlen
Beobachter gehen davon aus, dass insbesondere die hohe Zustimmung für den Staatspräsidenten Moon Jae-in und die Schaffung einer friedlichen Atmosphäre auf der koreanischen Halbinsel sowie der Erfolg des innerkoreanischen Gipfels der Minjoo Partei zu ihrem Erdrutschsieg verhalfen.
Höchste Wahlbeteiligung bei Kommunalwahlen seit 23 Jahren
Die Wahlkommission führte die hohe Wahlbeteiligung unter anderem darauf zurück, dass anlässlich der Präsidentschaftswahlen im letzten Jahr das Interesse der Bürger an politischer Beteiligung gestiegen sei. Die aktive Teilnahme an den Vorauswahlen habe ebenfalls eine Rolle gespielt.
We save a fortune by not doing war games, as long as we are negotiating in good faith – which both sides are!
So funny to watch the Fake News, especially NBC and CNN. They are fighting hard to downplay the deal with North Korea. 500 days ago they would have “begged” for this deal-looked like war would break out. Our Country’s biggest enemy is the Fake News so easily promulgated by fools!
KCNA Watch – A user-friendly interface for viewing NK Media
Latest articles from North Korea
Rep. Ro Khanna: If U.S.-North Korea Summit Happened Under Obama, Democrats Would Be Cheering
„My disagreement with Senator Schumer in that letter is that’s basically parroting the talking points of John Bolton, saying that we should not engage in any diplomacy or make any concessions without complete denuclearization. That’s just not realistic. A far more realistic framework is what Bill Perry has advocated in the 1990s and worked on, which is an incremental approach, where we need to look at our joint military exercises, as the president has, where we need to ask for the cessation of testing, and make concessions on an incremental basis. And that’s what I think has begun with this process.“
Michael Goodwin: Trump-Kim summit brings out the cynics (when we should be looking forward with hope)
This is a glorious day for cynics, especially lazy ones. It doesn’t take much effort to find loopholes, inconsistencies and other deficiencies in the agreement signed by President Trump and Kim Jong Un.
Democrats blast Trump for concessions he granted in U.S.-North Korea summit
As Republican leaders reacted with cautious optimism, Democrats said Trump gave up leverage by meeting with Kim and by agreeing so quickly to halting joint U.S. military „war game“ exercises with South Korea.
Most Americans Desperate for Third Major Political Party in Trump Era
(27.9.2017) More Americans than ever—61 percent—say the Democratic and Republican parties are inadequate and the U.S. should have a third major political party, a new poll from Gallup shows. The desire among Americans for a competitive third party has been above 57 percent over the last five years, but Gallup’s latest poll marks a record high level of support.
DNC Gives Itself the Power to Veto Presidential Candidates
Washington, D.C. — The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee met in Providence, R.I. on Friday, June 8 and declared a new rule that allows the party to block presidential candidates from running on the Democratic ballot.
The rule states that in order to be accepted as a candidate by the DNC, the applicants’ “public writings and/or statements” must “affirmatively demonstrate that they are faithful to the interests, welfare and success of the Democratic Party of the United States.”
The new rule means that a committee of corporate lobbyists, consultants, and people who participated in rigging the 2016 primary election will decide if a progressive is eligible to run for president in the Democratic Party in 2020. When Bernie Sanders or another progressive files to run as a Democrat, the DNC can reject them before a single vote is cast.
DNC Rule Change May Block Bernie Sanders from Running as Democrat in 2020
While Sanders has not said anything concrete about running for president again in two years, his 2016 campaign manager Jeff Weavers hinted at the possibility during an interview with C-SPAN host John McArdle in May.
“He is considering another run for the presidency and when the time comes I think we‘ll have an answer for that. But right now he‘s still considering it,” Weavers said.
“Anyone can make war, but only the most courageous can make peace.” @POTUS in Singapore at Press conference following the #SingaporeSummit
Much as it might hurt to say it, we should thank Donald Trump for this historic political summit
Let’s hope Kim Jong-un doesn’t go nuts on his plane home and pull out of the communique he just signed with Donald Trump in Singapore.
Americans have long hoped for a peaceful denuclearization of North Korea
American adults have supported working toward denuclearization of North Korea using diplomacy and peaceful efforts for many years.
Sweeping victory gives boost to Moon‘s North Korea policy
The fall of the current party leaders, including Chairman Hong Joon-pyo of the main opposition Liberty Korea Party (LKP), is inevitable and some parties may seek mergers.
Heinous Enemy Blocking Improvement of Inter-Korean Relations and Peace
Some days ago, „Liberal Korea Party“ of south Korea (LKP) checked the adoption of a bill on supporting the Panmunjom declaration at the „National Assembly“ (NA).
Owing to the reckless moves, the bill was not even tabled at the full-dress session of the NA.
The reckless moves betray true colors of the group of LKP which goes against national reconciliation and unity, peace and reunification and seeks confrontation.
Good to be back in Seoul with my old friend & fellow @WestPoint_USMA alum Gen Brooks ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ @usforceskorea Looking forward to my Thursday meetings with ROK & Japan @USEmbassySeoul
Commentary: Whatever happens next, the Trump-Kim summit is a win
In the end, diplomacy can work – as a process, not an event. There is no Big Bang theory of nuclear diplomacy. If no further progress is made toward peace on the Korean peninsula, all this – the back-and-forth, the Moon-Kim meetings, the Singapore summit itself – is at worst another good start that faded. It is more likely, however, a turning point.
Wahltagsbefragung: Regierungspartei erringt bei Nachwahlen zum Parlament zehn von elf Mandaten
Laut dem Ergebnis der Wahltagsbefragung hat die regierende Minjoo Partei Koreas bei den Nachwahlen zum Parlament zehn von elf Mandaten errungen.
Zum Abschluss der Wahlen um 18 Uhr veröffentlichten die drei terrestrischen Sender KBS, MBC und SBS die Ergebnisse der Umfrage beim Verlassen des Wahllokals.
Trump: Nachweis der Abschaffung nordkoreanischen Atomprogramms durch Aufbau von Vertrauen möglich
Nach Ansicht des US-Präsidenten Donald Trump wird der Nachweis der Abschaffung des nordkoreanischen Atomprogramms durch den Aufbau von Vertrauen mit dem kommunistischen Land möglich sein.
Mit der Äußerung zerstreute der US-Präsident Bedenken darüber, dass in der Erklärung des Gipfels mit Nordkorea beim Prinzip der Denuklearisierung die Zusätze „nachweislich und unumkehrbar“ fehlten.
Koreas kommen morgen zu Militärgesprächen auf hoher Ebene zusammen
Südkoreas Verteidigungsministerium teilte am Mittwoch mit, dass bei den Gesprächen im Tongilgak-Pavillon auf der nördlichen Seite des Waffenstillstandsorts Panmunjom über einen Spannungsabbau gesprochen werden soll wie er in der Panmunjom-Erklärung vorgeschrieben sei.
Es werden die ersten innerkoreanischen Militärgespräche auf hoher Ebene seit zehn Jahren sein.
NARU – die Nachrichtenagentur
NARU steht für Nachrichtenagentur Radio Utopie und ist deren Application.
NARU filtert für Euch aus der täglich wachsenden Boulevard- und Informationsflut die Nachrichten heraus, die wir einzeln oder im Zusammenhang als förderlich für Allgemeinbildung, Hintergrundwissen, politische Willensbildung und zur Einschätzung der aktuellen Situation in der Welt(Politik) erachten und verlinkt auf die Original-Quellen.
Blick in die Glaskugel: Bundeswehr will politische Ereignisse vorhersehen
In dem derzeit laufenden Pilotprojekt testet das Verteidigungsministerium außerdem die Plattform „IBM Watson“, die unter anderem vom US-Militär eingesetzt wird und dort ebenfalls die „vorausschauende Wartung“ erledigt. „Watson“ nutzt dafür einen Pool aus mehreren Milliarden Daten, die von Sensoren an militärischer Ausrüstung geliefert werden. Laut IBM gehören hierzu neben Fahrzeugen und anderem Gerät auch Drohnen.
China welcomes DPRK-U.S. summit achievements
„We wish and support the two sides to implement the consensus reached by the two leaders, promote follow-up consultations, further consolidate and expand the achievements, and make the political settlement of the peninsula issue a sustainable and irreversible process,“ it said.
„As a neighbor of the peninsula and an important party of the issue, China stands ready to work with other relevant parties toward denuclearization and the establishment of a peace mechanism on the Korean Peninsula.“
US-Außenminister Pompeo besucht China
Wie der Sprecher des chinesischen Außenministeriums, Geng Shuang, am Mittwoch in Beijing bekannt gab, werde Pompeo auf Einladung seines chinesischen Amtskollegen Wang Yi am Donnerstag nach China reisen.
Stanford researchers release risk-management roadmap to denuclearization in North Korea
(30.5.2018) According to Hecker, North Korea’s recent demolition of its nuclear test site is a significant step in that direction.
“The so-called ‘Libya model’ – complete and immediate denuclearization – is not a viable solution,” Hecker said. “Our approach leaves each party with a manageable level of risk. Even though it takes longer, it is safer for the world.”
Hecker also encouraged the US to recognize North Korea’s desire for civilian programs, including energy production, the use of radioactive substances in medical research, diagnosis and treatment, and a peaceful space program. These types of civilian programs can also foster opportunities for a collaborative relationship between the United States and North Korea. Further, increased cooperation –including with South Korea – can help make efforts for verification and monitoring with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) more reliable. The verification process that will confirm to what extent North Korea dismantles and destroys its military nuclear program is a big issue for negotiations, the scholars said.
These sanctions will keep squeezing North Korea‘s economy
„Scientifically you have to wait certain periods of time,“ Trump said, speaking about the process of denuclearization. „But once you start the process it means it‘s pretty much over.“
Until then, these measures will keep squeezing North Korea‘s economy:
Making Sense of UN Sanctions on North Korea
The interactive below outlines the sanctions imposed by the United Nations Security Council on North Korea over the past twelve years, on top of earlier sanctions. It allows the reader to navigate by resolution or by type of sanction, and to see the cumulative effect at any point in time. The purpose is to help users understand what is currently required of UN members with regard to economic engagement with the North, how pressure on Pyongyang has built up over time, and what active measures can be taken if countries want to trade sanctions relief for steps to reduce—and ultimately eliminate—the North Korean nuclear threat.
Pyongyang‘s Commitment to Denuclearization Good But Should Be Verified – Paris
Pyongyang‘s stated commitment to the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula is good news, but the implementation of the intention should be verified, French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said Wednesday.
Welcome the news that President Trump and Kim Jong Un have held constructive talks in Singapore. The DPRK’s commitment to complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula is an important first step towards a stable and prosperous future.
Statement attributable to the Spokesman for the Secretary-General on the Summit between the leaders of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and the United States of America
The Secretary-General welcomes the holding of the Summit between the leaders of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) and the United States as an important milestone in the advancement of sustainable peace and the complete and verifiable denuclearization on the Korean Peninsula.
As the Secretary-General noted in letters to both leaders before the Summit, the road ahead requires cooperation, compromise and a common cause. Implementing today’s and previous agreements reached, in accordance with relevant Security Council resolutions, will require patience and support from the global community.
Historic First DPRK-U.S. Summit Meeting and Talks Held
Kim Jong Un, chairman of the Workers‘ Party of Korea, chairman of the State Affairs Commission of the Democratic People‘s Republic of Korea and supreme commander of the Korean People‘s Army, held the summit meeting and talks with Donald J. Trump, president of the United States of America, at Sentosa Island of Singapore on June 12, 2018 for the first time in the histories of the two countries.
Joint Statement from Kim Jong Un and Trump after Summit
The following is a joint statement of the Singapore summit signed by Kim Jong Un, chairman of the State Affairs Commission of the Democratic People‘s Republic of Korea, and Donald J. Trump, president of the United States of America, on June 12:
The World has taken a big step back from potential Nuclear catastrophe! No more rocket launches, nuclear testing or research! The hostages are back home with their families. Thank you to Chairman Kim, our day together was historic!
Moon und Trump sprechen über Folgemaßnahmen des USA-Nordkorea-Gipfels
Trump soll seine Zufriedenheit über die Ergebnisse des Gipfels, die seine Erwartungen übertroffen hätten, zum Ausdruck gebracht haben.
Das südkoreanische Staatsoberhaupt habe zudem betont, dass die positiven Ergebnisse des Gipfels am Dienstag in Singapur ein gemeinsamer großartiger Sieg für Süd- und Nordkorea sowie die USA seien.
Trump bekräftigt Pläne für Stopp von US-amerikanisch-südkoreanischen Militärübungen
Bei seiner Rückkehr vom Gipfel am Dienstag in Singapur twitterte Trump, das beispiellose Treffen, das erste zwischen einem Präsidenten der USA und einem Machthaber Nordkoreas, beweise, dass echte Veränderungen möglich seien.
Die Welt habe einen großen Schritt zurück von einer potenziellen Nuklearkatastrophe gemacht. schrieb Trump. Er möchte dem Vorsitzenden Kim dafür danken, den ersten mutigen Schritt in Richtung einer strahlenden neuen Zukunft für sein Volk getan zu haben, schrieb Trump.