Archiv: projections / forecasts


16.11.2020 - 18:49 [ theNewEuropean.co.uk ]

Think tank says country might face Brexit ‚in name only‘ following Cummings‘ departure from Number 10

He continued: „Dom Cummings‘ presence at the centre of the government’s policy programme gave Brexiteers confidence that Brexit would take place in a meaningful way.“

Instead, he warned that the loss „makes post-Brexit Britain more likely to be very similar to a Britain inside the EU, and possibly worse“.

06.11.2020 - 18:15 [ DailyMail.co.uk ]

Downing Street REJECTS calls to end lockdown despite four more sets of real-world data showing second wave of Covid was dropping and R rate was stable BEFORE crippling restrictions based on flawed projections

Downing Street today refused calls for England’s second lockdown to be cut short and insisted it will run until December 2, despite four more sets of real-world data that show the second wave was already shrinking before the Government pushed the panic button on a drastic month-long shutdown.

Promising figures published today by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) – which runs a massive government surveillance scheme that randomly swabs tens of thousands of people to track the size of the outbreak – suggest that the country’s coronavirus outbreak has shrunk.

28.10.2020 - 03:13 [ NPR.org ]

Voters‘ Guide To Election Security In The 2020 Presidential Campaign

(September 27, 2020)

This year may feature the most turnout ever, according to some projections, and combined with an expected surge in mailed ballots could mean that Americans don’t get a definitive result on election night.

28.10.2020 - 03:12 [ New Yorker ]

The Legal Fight Awaiting Us After the Election

(September 21, 2020)

There does seem to be general agreement on one provision of the 1887 act: the “safe harbor” clause. It provides that, if a state submits its final tally in the Presidential contest by six days before the meeting of the Electoral College, that decision is “conclusive” and thus free from legal challenge. This year, the safe-harbor deadline is December 8th; the Electoral College meets in each state capitol on December 14th.

It is unclear, however, what will happen if a slow vote count puts a state in jeopardy of missing the deadline.

28.10.2020 - 03:09 [ CNN ]

How Rutherford B. Hayes could impact this year’s presidential election

(September 3, 2020)

More than at any time since 2000, the possibility that states could have problems meeting crucial December deadlines for their electoral totals hangs in the air. The sheer challenge of tallying mail-in ballots during a pandemic could delay final results, as could litigation in swing states with narrow margins between candidates.

09.10.2020 - 11:31 [ Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) ]

CPD ANNOUNCES SECOND PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE WILL BE VIRTUAL

Washington, D.C. (October 8, 2020) – In order to protect the health and safety of all involved with the second presidential debate, scheduled for October 15, 2020, The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) announced the following today:

The second presidential debate will take the form of a town meeting, in which the candidates would participate from separate remote locations.

09.10.2020 - 11:13 [ CNN ]

Biden says there shouldn’t be a second debate if Trump still has Covid-19

(07.10.2020)

The former vice president also said he looks forward to the debate, which is set to take place next Thursday in Miami.
„I’m looking forward to being able to debate him. But I just hope all the protocols are followed, what’s necessary at the time,“ he said.

09.10.2020 - 10:58 [ MSN.com ]

Biden Wants Only Virtual Debates, Trump Campaign Claims

(02.09.2020)

„We have every reason to believe that Joe Biden, if he agrees to go forward with debates in the first place, will want to retreat to his remote video link and the Skype-call campaign he’s been running and do the debate from his basement,“ Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh told reporters Wednesday, „where he can rely on notes, a teleprompter or a handler off camera.“

30.08.2020 - 07:21 [ theGuardian.com ]

Michael Moore warns that Donald Trump is on course to repeat 2016 win

The documentary film-maker Michael Moore has warned that Donald Trump appears to have such momentum in some battleground states that liberals risk a repeat of 2016 when so many wrote off Trump only to see him grab the White House.

“Sorry to have to provide the reality check again,” he said.

21.08.2020 - 16:53 [ @jvgraz / Twitter ]

If the Democrats get in power they will be absolutely merciless on the poor and vulnerable. They’ve been waiting four years to exact their revenge, and they are ready to rack up a body count.

15.07.2020 - 16:17 [ Nature.com ]

The end of world population growth

02 August 2001

There has been enormous concern about the consequences of human population growth for the environment and for social and economic development. But this growth is likely to come to an end in the foreseeable future. Improving on earlier methods of probabilistic forecasting1, here we show that there is around an 85 per cent chance that the world’s population will stop growing before the end of the century. There is a 60 per cent probability that the world’s population will not exceed 10 billion people before 2100, and around a 15 per cent probability that the world’s population at the end of the century will be lower than it is today.

15.07.2020 - 16:11 [ DailyMail.co.uk ]

World population will start SHRINKING in 44 years: Major study claims humanity will peak at 9.7billion people in 2064 before dropping to 8.8bn by 2100 because of declining birth rates — and the UK will top out at 75million in 2063

This is projected to lead to a drop in the fertility rate of the world’s population, from an average of 2.37 children per woman — 237 children from every 100 women — to 1.66, or 166 children for every 100 women.

The fertility rate must be 2 for a population to remain stable and 2.1 for it to increase, the researchers said. To keep a community the same size a mother must, on average, not only replace herself but also the baby’s father.

24.04.2020 - 12:48 [ PoliticsHome.com ]

Alzheimer’s Society responds to joint statement from DHSC and CQC on the number of Covid-19 deaths in care homes

(22.04.2020)

Sally Copley, Director of Policy, Campaigns and Partnerships at Alzheimer’s Society, said:

“The true impact of the coronavirus in care homes is becoming increasingly clear, and that’s why we’re demanding swift Government action. With the further report today of a possible 2000 deaths just over Easter weekend, this is a frightening time for everyone with relatives with dementia in care homes. People with dementia’s lives matter, and every death is a terrible loss to a grieving family.

“We hear daily from desperately concerned families who want to know that the Government is doing all it can to keep people in care homes safe, and it is good to hear that the CQC is actively booking testing appointments for care staff.

22.04.2020 - 14:40 [ Washington Post ]

CDC director warns second wave of coronavirus is likely to be even more devastating

(21.04.2020)

“There’s a possibility that the assault of the virus on our nation next winter will actually be even more difficult than the one we just went through,” CDC Director Robert Redfield said in an interview with The Washington Post. “And when I’ve said this to others, they kind of put their head back, they don’t understand what I mean.”

“We’re going to have the flu epidemic and the coronavirus epidemic at the same time,” he said.

18.04.2020 - 10:52 [ Jennifer Rubin, @WashingtonPost / Twitter ]

Cuomo: If you want to blame someone and fire someone for bade projections then fire CDC, WH coronavirus task force and Navarro who had huge projections

(17-04.2020)

18.04.2020 - 10:37 [ NBC News / Youtube ]

Live: NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo Holds Coronavirus Briefing | NBC News

(17.04.2020)

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo holds a briefing on the coronavirus pandemic as it spreads across New York state, which has the most positive cases in the United States.

12.04.2020 - 19:49 [ Mark Dice, Media Analyst / Twitter ]

Next they’ll be doing this if you don’t take the vaccine

09.04.2020 - 14:17 [ theHill.com ]

Fauci: ‚Looks like‘ US deaths will be lower than original projection

“Although one of the original models projected 100- to 200,000 deaths, as we’re getting more data and seeing the positive effect of mitigation, those numbers are going to be downgraded,” Fauci said on Fox News. “I don’t know exactly what the numbers are going to be, but right now it looks like it’s going to be less than the original projection.”