Archiv: monetary policy


28.11.2019 - 17:05 [ Wall Street Journal ]

China Protests New U.S. Law Supporting Hong Kong but Signals Hope for Trade Deal

Despite harsh language criticizing what Beijing calls U.S. interference in China’s domestic affairs, and a second summoning of the U.S. ambassador in a week, China’s leadership still wants a deal to help alleviate pressure on its fast-weakening economy.

08.10.2019 - 15:05 [ New York Times ]

Will the Supreme Court Hand Trump Even More Power?

The version of the “unitary executive” put forth by Mr. Trump, the Justice Department and the shareholders would open the door for a president to fire for any reason — even personal reasons unrelated to the public interest or even for no reason at all — any head of an administrative agency, including the heads of “independent agencies” like the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau as well as the Federal Reserve, the Federal Trade Commission and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. (These agency heads are nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate.)

18.09.2019 - 22:39 [ Marketwatch.com ]

Fed decision and Jerome Powell press conference: live blog and video

The Federal Reserve makes its interest rate decision and also releases new versions of its dot plot and economic projections and Chairman Jerome Powell will address the media afterwards. Follow along as MarketWatch’s Rex Nutting, William Watts, and Jeffrey Bartash live-blog the action and watch the video of the press conference.

24.08.2019 - 15:40 [ Spiked ]

The strangling of European democracy: The EU is the high point of an anti-democratic project that has been brewing for a hundred years.

So, while the EU might well be the apogee of constrained democracy, constrained democracy has many facets. Moreover, the model of constrained democracy existed on a national level before the EU was created. Indeed, the EU can be seen as the grotesque extension of a flawed system that was first developed within nation states after the First World War. For instance, the model of independent central banking was pioneered in Germany before being transposed to the EU much later on.

23.08.2019 - 18:58 [ NPR.org ]

More Rate Cuts? Powell Says Fed Is Ready To Help Economy Grow Amid Trade Tensions

Signalling the possibility of more interest-rate cuts, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank will „act as appropriate“ to sustain the economic expansion as the trade war with China takes a toll on global growth and the U.S. economy.

23.08.2019 - 18:53 [ FederalReserve.gov ]

Challenges for Monetary Policy – Chair Jerome H. Powell

As we look back over the decade since the end of the financial crisis, we can again see fundamental economic changes that call for a reassessment of our policy framework. The current era has been characterized by much lower neutral interest rates, disinflationary pressures, and slower growth. We face heightened risks of lengthy, difficult-to-escape periods in which our policy interest rate is pinned near zero. To address this new normal, we are conducting a public review of our mo netary policy strategy, tools, and communications—the first of its kind for the Federal Reserve.

26.07.2019 - 18:34 [ Bloomberg ]

Draghi Shouts Louder at Germany as ECB Prepares Stimulus

(25.07.2019)

Yet Germany, which has a budget surplus and which can borrow money at sub-zero rates, doesn’t see the problem even as its own manufacturing sector contracts. Finance Minister Olaf Scholz told Bloomberg Television on Thursday, minutes before Draghi’s press conference, that he has no plans to loosen the country’s purse strings because it’s not “necessary or wise to act as if we were in a crisis.”

03.07.2019 - 09:19 [ Gunther Schnabl ‏/ Twitter ]

Madame Lagarde for ECB president: „Lagarde will share Draghi’s taste for aggressive and innovative monetary policy and her appointment would mean the more hawkish Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann misses out.“

01.07.2019 - 07:08 [ Bloomberg ]

ECB Seen Cutting Rates in September as Draghi Reloads Stimulus

(27.06.2019)

Respondents expect the deposit rate, already at a record low, to be reduced by 10 basis points to minus 0.5% in September. HSBC predicts a second cut of the same magnitude in December, and ABN Amro sees a second reduction at the start of next year. Money markets are pricing a 10-basis point cut in September.

01.07.2019 - 06:59 [ Bloomberg ]

Weidmann Is Top Dog Again in ECB Race After Shifting Policy View

(Published: February 17, 2018, 12:00 AM EST | Updated: June 28, 2019, 7:00 AM EDT)

On the eve of a meeting of European Union leaders to discuss the bloc’s top policy positions, Bloomberg’s poll of economists shows the Bundesbank president edging out his French rival Francois Villeroy de Galhau. Finnish central-banking veteran Erkki Liikanen tied with Villeroy for second place. Current Finnish Governor Olli Rehn took fourth, overtaking France’s Benoit Coeure.

01.07.2019 - 06:53 [ euobserver.com ]

Macron: new ECB leader will not be picked at summit

French president Emmanuel Macron said arriving at the EU summit on Sunday that the decision on Mario Draghi’s successor at the helm of the European Central Bank will only be taken after the political posts such as the presidents of the EU commission and EU council.

26.06.2019 - 14:58 [ Japan Today ]

Trump eyes talks with Japan, China, Russia on sidelines of G20

U.S. President Donald Trump plans to hold bilateral talks with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of a two-day Group of 20 summit starting Friday in Osaka, a senior administration official said Monday.

26.06.2019 - 14:33 [ South China Morning Post ]

Trade talks will fail if US keeps attacking China, state media says

– Washington still harbours illusions of pressuring Beijing into submission, commentary says, as the two countries’ presidents prepare to meet at G20
– Unless the US changes, the two sides will continue to exchange views without making progress, it says

20.06.2019 - 18:38 [ economicshelp.org ]

Effect of lower interest rates

in theory, lower interest rates will:

– Reduce the incentive to save. Lower interest rates give a smaller return from saving. This lower incentive to save will encourage consumers to spend rather than hold onto money.

– Cheaper borrowing costs. Lower interest rates make the cost of borrowing cheaper. It will encourage consumers and firms to take out loans to finance greater spending and investment.

– Lower mortgage interest payments. A fall in interest rates will reduce the monthly cost of mortgage repayments. This will leave householders with more disposable income and should cause a rise in consumer spending.

20.06.2019 - 18:33 [ Spectator ]

Mark Carney’s replacement must be a Brexiteer

(24.04.2019)

On another level, however, it is completely crackers. The problem only arises because the Chancellor is looking in the familiar pool of Davos-friendly technocrats. In the FT, the names tipped are drearily familiar. The head of the Financial Conduct Authority. A former chief economist of the IMF. One of the career staffers, or maybe a Professor from somewhere or other. From that perspective, Brexit is a problem to be managed. Sterling will crash, investment will dry up, wages will rise, and exports will collapse. The Bank will be muddling its way through one disaster after another.

But surely the Chancellor could just appoint a Brexiteer?