The U.S. does not have any intelligence to suggest such an attack in Ukraine is imminent, the people said. In fact, many DoD officials believe the fighting will stall during the winter months, with neither side able to take much ground.
But in the case of continued battlefield losses, or a complete collapse of the Russian army, some top officials working on the issue have determined that Moscow might resort to employing chemical weapons — including those the country has been associated with using in the poisoning of Alexei Navalny.
(MARCH 29, 2022)
A month after Russia invaded, Moscow has yes to achieve its goals.
The storyteller said he was convinced at that moment that Netanyahu himself believed it.
If apocryphal, it is definitely in character. Netanyahu regularly embraces bad ideas or even lies so totally that he convinces himself of their rightness. Others start to believe them too. His outlandish idea, uttered in a speech, was that Hitler would have been happy with just expelling Jews if a Palestinian, the then grand mufti of Jerusalem, had not suggested annihilation instead.
“The fact that people even go out to vote is very disturbing to economists. After all, you won’t change the result of the election with your lone vote, and on the other hand it costs you time and money. If you do a cost-benefit analysis of it – clearly one shouldn’t vote. Classical economists are very disturbed by people who go out to vote and also by people who leave tips in restaurants that they don’t plan to visit again.”
In other words, Martin keeps his characters’ networks within the limits that his readers’ human minds were designed by evolution to cope with.
I have worked for over 30 years in competitive strategy. I teach it to future business and policy leaders, diplomats, global development leaders and social entrepreneurs. I have been a leader of the competitive strategy practices in two influential global consulting firms, where I advised CEOs, boards and policy heads. My academic training is as a game theorist, the science of figuring out your next move while anticipating the competitor’s moves to follow. Despite these credentials, I have never been invited to advise Donald Trump on competitive strategy.
Published March 13, 2020
Updated March 17, 2020
Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich wrote in his best-selling 1968 book The Population Bomb, “In the 1970’s, hundreds of millions of people will starve to death” because of overpopulation. (Later editions modified the sentence to read “In the 1980’s.”)
None of that ever came to pass.
Yes. I didn’t neglect to include that third one. That is the real issue with this business plan. Deception. Because so much relies on building a large team in order to earn the top figures that so many dream of, prospecting can be as much about the art of deception as it is the art of persuasion. Now, one might believe that a deceived recruit is not as effective as a persuaded recruit. However, when there are dynamics that operate within the team that echo those found in Scientology, the Branch Davidians, and modern-day and early communism, this distinction becomes difficult to differentiate.
“We started 20 years back. I didn’t even know we were doing AI then. It was only three or four years ago when someone said: ‘That’s whatyou’re doing.’”
Wait — what?
While it sounds like something out of the movie Gattaca, the “Nobel Prize Sperm Bank” really was operational for 20 years, from 1979 to 1999, and based in Escondido, California. It was founded by the multimillionaire optometrist and inventor Robert Graham, an admirer of eugenics who believed the human race was getting progressively dumber and that the only way to stop it was by filling the world with the genetic descendants of Nobel Prize winners.
Mr. Epstein’s vision reflected his longstanding fascination with what has become known as transhumanism: the science of improving the human population through technologies like genetic engineering and artificial intelligence. Critics have likened transhumanism to a modern-day version of eugenics, the discredited field of improving the human race through controlled breeding.
(7.3.2017) As part of a study, we interviewed 15 current and former members of the U.S. military who were between 24 and 35 years old to understand the role violent first-person shooter games played in their recruitment and training.
The majority of interviewees told us it was important to stay in the mindset of a soldier even when not on duty. To them, first-person shooters were the perfect vehicle for doing this.
(10.3.2003) With “Full Spectrum Warrior,” currently in testing at Fort Benning, Ga., squad leaders learn how to command nine soldiers in complex, confusing urban warfare scenarios. The game isn’t not about sprinting, “Rambo”-like, through alleys with guns blazing.
“It’s not really about shooting at things,” Macedonia said. “Learning how to shoot your weapon is easy. The challenging thing is leading.”
The game the Institute for Creative Technologies has been working on with the CIA for about a year — at a cost of several million dollars — will let agency analysts assume the role of terror cell leaders, cell members and operatives.
“Our analysts would be accustomed to looking at the world from the perspective of the terrorists we are chasing, and learn to expect the unexpected,” CIA spokesman Mark Mansfield said.
Related Legal Terms:
IGNORANCE, RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY (RCT), RATIONAL, THEORY OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS (TRE), RATIONAL INTERPRETATION, RATIONAL DOUBT, RATIONAL CHOICE, RATIONAL APATHY, RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS HYPOTHESIS (REH), RATIONAL COST ESTIMATING
(29.10.2012) Wie vernünftig es ist, das Wohl der Gesellschaft nicht etwa parlamentarischer Demokratie, sondern dem freien Willen freier Märkte für freie Bürger zu überlassen, wurde den vom renitenten (Wahl-)Pöbel geplagten Leistungsträgern schon 1951 als „Unmöglichkeitstheorem“ (im Film als „impossibility theorem“ erwähnt) auf den Schreibtisch gelegt. Dieses bewies – bis zum Beweis des Gegenteils, natürlich – dass parlamentarische Entscheidungen nie das optimale Ergebnis für das Gemeinwohl zur Folge haben könnten, sondern im Gegenteil ein allgemeiner Wohlfahrtsstaat nur durch eine Diktatur zustande kommen könne (viel Spaß bei der Berechnung, sie sind jetzt A, B, C, vier oder fünf).
Der Ökonom Kenneth Arrow, der das Unmöglichkeitsheorem möglich gemacht hatte, bekam dafür später 1972 den gleichen hochdotierten Preis, wie die in den 50er Jahre für das Pentagon und die R.A.N.D. Corporation arbeitenden Mathematiker John Nash („game theory“, „Nash Equilibrium“) und Herman Kahn (der einen gewinnbaren Atomkrieg errechnet hatte, bis zum Beweis des Gegenteils): den „in Erinnerung an Alfred Nobel gestifteten Preis für Wirtschaftswissenschaften“ der schwedischen Zentralbank (einen „Wirtschaftsnobelpreis“ gibt es nicht.)