The fourth and final day of the Queen’s Jubilee is underway in London.
At first glance the ONS data suggest that, in each of the older age groups, all-cause mortality is lower in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated. Despite this apparent evidence to support vaccine effectiveness-at least for the older age groups-on closer inspection of this data, this conclusion is cast into doubt because of a range of fundamental inconsistencies and anomalies in the data. Whatever the explanations for the observed data, it is clear that it is both unreliable and misleading. While socio-demographical and behavioural differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated have been proposed as possible explanations, there is no evidence to support any of these. By Occam’s razor we believe the most likely explanations are systemic miscategorisation of deaths between the different categories of unvaccinated and vaccinated; delayed or non-reporting of vaccinations; systemic underestimation of the proportion of unvaccinated; and/or incorrect population selection for Covid deaths.
Legal action has begun against the government challenging guidance stopping care home residents taking journeys from their homes.
Pressure group John’s Campaign has started the proceedings in a pre-action letter sent to the Department of Health and Social Care.
The group – which is made up of both care home residents and their families – say that the ban on over-65s going on trips from the homes is unlawful.
1. Lethality: According to the latest immunological studies, the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) of covid-19 in the general population is about 0.1% to 0.5% in most countries, which is most closely comparable to the medium influenza pandemics of 1957 and 1968.
2. Treatment: For people at high risk or high exposure, early or prophylactic treatment is essential to prevent progression of the disease. According to numerous international studies, early outpatient treatment of covid may reduce hospitalizations and deaths by about 80%.
3. Age profile: The median age of covid deaths is over 80 years in most Western countries (but 78 in the US) and only about 5% of the deceased had no serious preconditions. The age and risk profile of covid mortality is therefore comparable to normal mortality, but increases it proportionally.
4. Nursing homes: In many Western countries, up to two thirds of all covid deaths have occurred in nursing homes, which require targeted and humane protection. In some cases, care home residents died not from the coronavirus, but from weeks of stress and isolation.
The deaths were all among elderly care home residents aged 75 and over with pre-existing conditions. France’s health minister has said studies will be carried out to determine if there is a link to the vaccine or it is just ‚bad timing‘
According to the medical expert, the deceased were aged from 79 to 93, all with antecedent diseases. The time between vaccination and death ranged from several hours to four days.
Pfizer and Moderna, which produce the vaccines used in Israel, have said their shots appear to be slightly less effective in preventing the so-called South African strain of the virus, though the companies say they remain quite potent.
Staff and outside experts attribute the health of these people in the face of their COVID-19 infections primarily to the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines. Nearly 80% of the people who live and work in the facility have received at least one of the shots in the two-shot series.
On Sunday night, Mr Johnson said the successful rollout of jabs to care home residents „marks a crucial milestone in our ongoing race to vaccinate the most vulnerable against this deadly disease“.
He said: „There will be difficult moments to come, and the number of cases and people in hospital remains dangerously high. But vaccines are our route out of the pandemic and, having protected 8.9 million people with a first dose so far, our rollout programme will only accelerate from here on.“
Elderly and infirm people in Oxford, London, Brighton, Morecambe in Lancashire and Nuneaton in Warwickshire are due to be first to receive the jab.
A total of 530,000 doses will be made available at 540 GP vaccination sites and 101 hospitals this week.
The NHS has ordered 100million doses which it is hoped will free the country from Covid-19.
The approval of Pfizer/BioNTech’s coronavirus vaccine on Wednesday was hailed as the light at the end of the lockdown tunnel that could finally revert Britain back to pre-pandemic normality.
But the breakthrough jab — shown to be 95 per cent effective at blocking Covid-19 infection — has thrown up a series of logistical hurdles that make getting the vaccine to those who need it most challenging, including care homes.
– Government data shows there were 1,230 coronavirus patients needing NHS treatment every day in England
– But only 938 of these were from ‚the community‘, meaning they definitely caught the virus in day-to-day life
In late June, my grandparents quietly celebrated their 70th wedding anniversary. Just three days later, Martin moved into a care home. The decision was agonising, but by that point, unavoidable.
Our family’s situation is not uncommon: more than 300,000 people with dementia are living in care homes across the UK, according to Alzheimer’s Research UK.
Nationwide, more than 45,500 residents and staff have died from coronavirus outbreaks at nursing homes and other long-term care facilities, according to a running count by The Associated Press. That’s about 40% of more than 115,000 total deaths. Nursing home residents are less than 1% of the U.S. population.
At least 4,900 seniors have died in New York State nursing homes from the coronavirus so far this year.
Around 20 percent of all New York state deaths were in nursing homes.
Martin Gugino is an American hero. Cenk Uygur and Ana Kasparian discuss on The Young Turks.
Mr. Trump’s tweet — none of it backed by fact — raced across the internet all day even as Mr. Gugino, 75, still lay in the hospital, recovering from the serious head wound he sustained on Thursday night when two Buffalo police officers shoved him to the ground at a demonstration marking the police killing of George Floyd.
The victim was transported to Charlton Memorial Hospital for evaluation. Police say the victim had visible bruising on his lower back. Two independent witnesses say they observed the attack and corroborated the victim’s version of events.
The victim stated that he believed that he was targeted and attacked because of his political beliefs and the Trump hat that he was wearing. Courtright was contacted by police and later turned himself in to authorities at the Fall River Police Station.
A disturbing video posted to Twitter by a local NPR affiliate late Thursday shows two cops in riot gear pushing a 75-year-old man—causing him to fall backward and slam his head on the concrete—as a group of officers advanced on protesters rallying against the police killing of George Floyd.
Why did this happen @BPDAlerts ?
Critics say data proves New York’s liability shield is linked to higher nursing home death rates during the pandemic
Military personnel sent to nursing homes in Ontario have observed shocking conditions, including “blatant disregard” for infection control measures, mistreatment of residents and a level of care described as “horrible,” according to documents obtained by Global News.
Nearly half of new cases in May were registered at nursing homes.
The most recent ISS weekly study, based on a sample of about 10% of fatalities until May 21, also showed that just 124 victims, or 4.1% of the total, had no previous pathology. Almost 60% of victims suffered from at least three prior illnesses and about a fifth had two conditions.
The Macomb County republican says Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s executive order required all long-term care facilities at less than 80% capacity to create COVID19 units and accept patients. Now he’s asking Michigan’s Attorney General and the U.S. Attorney for Michigan’s Eastern District to investigate whether that endangered nursing home residents.
“Why did we have this order, when medical personnel themselves are saying that the most unsafe position you could put the ones who are vulnerable in is bringing COVID into the facility,” said Lucido.
The Macomb County lawmaker on Monday called for the probe into the governor’s Executive Orders 2020-50 and 2020-84, which mandate all long-term facilities in the state at less than 80% capacity to create COVID-19 units and accept and retain patients diagnosed with the new coronavirus.
„Why would we bring infected people into a facility that is set up to care for the elderly,“ Lucido said Tuesday. „Nursing homes were never set up to care for COVID-19 patients. Nursing homes don’t have the proper medical equipment, ventilators, or medical personnel to care for them.“
The group, many in wheelchairs, brought a coffin — which police seized. Officers warned demonstrators to disperse, and they did, about an hour after arriving. As they left, they chanted “we will be back.”
Chicago ADAPT urged Pritzker to declare an emergency at long-term care facilities and use the National Guard to move residents to hotels and other locations where better social distancing is possible.
New York’s coronavirus nursing home death toll is staggering, and in some upstate counties, more than three-quarters of virus-related deaths can be linked to elder care facilities.
In Warren and Yates counties, 100% of deaths were linked to nursing homes, and in Tioga County, 95% of deaths are linked to one facility.
At least 83 of the state’s 140 coronavirus deaths — or nearly six in 10 — are now associated with senior care facilities, up from 78 the week before. Cases grew by about 13 percent during that time, from 480 to 545.
Most of the deaths appear to be residents, though state officials have not released that information for all facilities.
With 401 deaths, nursing homes make up 55% of the state’s 728 coronavirus-related deaths, according to the report.
Many states, including New York, came under fire for a policy requiring nursing homes to admit COVID-19 positive patients. Data shows that Minnesota now has 81.4% of deaths from long term care facilities and assisted living centers.
Minnesota’s Department of Health did so to lower the risk of overwhelming hospitals with COVID-19 patients.
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — Nursing home residents continue to make up the vast majority of coronavirus-related deaths in Ohio, according to new Department of Health statistics.
Gavin Newsom (D) CA
Andrew Cuomo (D) NY
Gretchen Whitmer (D) MI
Tom Wolf (D) PA
“It was the single dumbest decision anyone could make if they wanted to kill people,” Daniel Arbeeny said of the directive, which prompted him to pull his 88-year-old father out of a Brooklyn nursing home where more than 50 people have died. His father later died of COVID-19 at home.
Petition and email campaigns warned introducing COVID patients to nursing homes put vulnerable residents at risk.
Cuomo rescinded the order on May 10, and this week blamed the original policy on the Trump administration.
“Why did the state do that with COVID patients in nursing homes?” said the governor. “It’s because the state followed President Trump’s CDC guidelines.
According to Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam, nearly half of the country’s 1,600 COVID-19 deaths are linked to these homes.
What would you have done differently?
We underestimated the issues at care homes, and how the measures would be applied. We should have controlled this more thoroughly. By contrast, the health system, which is under unusual pressure, has nevertheless always been ahead of the curve.
Are you satisfied with the strategy?
Yes! We know that COVID-19 is extremely dangerous for very old people, which is of course bad. But looking at pandemics, there are much worse scenarios than this one. Most problems that we have right now are not because of the disease, but because of the measures that in some environments have not been applied properly: the deaths among older people is a huge problem and we are fighting hard.
Coronavirus is likely to result in a high mortality rate in care homes, England’s chief medical officer has said.
Chris Whitty said it was hard to prevent deaths in care homes „sadly because this is a very vulnerable group“.
Current statistics were likely to be an „underestimate“, he added.
Sally Copley, Director of Policy, Campaigns and Partnerships at Alzheimer’s Society, said:
“The true impact of the coronavirus in care homes is becoming increasingly clear, and that’s why we’re demanding swift Government action. With the further report today of a possible 2000 deaths just over Easter weekend, this is a frightening time for everyone with relatives with dementia in care homes. People with dementia’s lives matter, and every death is a terrible loss to a grieving family.
“We hear daily from desperately concerned families who want to know that the Government is doing all it can to keep people in care homes safe, and it is good to hear that the CQC is actively booking testing appointments for care staff.
Our leaders have told us to stay home- to shelter in place. Yet for many of the 1.5 million elderly nursing home residents, the home has become an unsafe and sometimes dangerous place.
Yet on February 25, Public Health England guidance said: “It remains very unlikely people receiving care in a care home or the community will be infected.”
Dave Prentis, head of Unison which represents many care workers, urged the Government to “get its act together” to save lives.
Practitioners complain that patients have been discharged from hospitals into care homes, potentially while infected, and staff report shortages of personal protective equipment, with the result that carers might have been left to spread the disease and fall ill themselves. Earlier this week, Matt Hancock said that 15 care workers were known to have died in England.
The Bishop of London tells April Roach there has never been a greater need for people to come together to help feed hungry Londoners
In a press briefing on Thursday, WHO Europe director Dr. Hans Kluge said a “deeply concerning picture” was emerging of the impact of COVID-19 on long-term homes for the elderly, where care has “often been notoriously neglected.” Kluge said health workers in such facilities were often overworked and underpaid and called for them to be given more protective gear and support, describing them as the “unsung heroes” of the pandemic.
On one hand, the prime minister says we are in the midst of a crisis not seen since the Dark Ages and on the other he abuses the crisis to try to escape his day in court.
How do our leaders expect us to cooperate during one of the worst crises Israel has ever known when our confidence in them is crumbling?
At Soroka Medical Center in Beersheba, a 97-year-old man and a 96-year-old man died.
According to Hebrew media reports, the two were residents of the Mishan assisted living facility in the southern city, raising the number of people from there who died of the virus to 10.
The data showed 64% of 4,159 deaths in New York were those over 70 years old — with the most among those aged 70 and 79 followed closely by those aged 80 and 89.
The figures were not surprising. State and national leaders have long warned that the virus was most deadly among the elderly and those with preexisting health issues.
The Israeli government is expected to declare full lockdowns of numerous ultra-Orthodox communities across the country and West Bank to contain the fast-spreading coronavirus.
A Knesset (Israeli Parliament) ministerial committee was formed late on Sunday to oversee the decision that is expected to affect at least eight cities that and more than a dozen neighborhoods.
“Since yesterday I’m trying to find someone to help get Passover food to four elderly couples that I’ve been taking care of for three weeks, and there’s no one to turn to,” said a city resident. “I tried everyone I know, and I know a lot of people. There’s no response from the municipality, all those getting paid by the city don’t want to deal with me. The police send me to the municipality, and from there they send me to the Home Front Command, which sends me back to the municipality.”
The key to defeating the global pandemic of coronavirus is isolating the elderly population in the hope that young people who are not in the risk group for complications would develop herd immunity, Israel’s caretaker Defense Minister said Friday in a recorded statement.
As of 2 p.m., 104 people, mostly elderly patients with underlying illnesses, have died from the respiratory virus that emerged in China late last year, the KCDC said, adding that 62 virus patients are currently in critical condition.
About 57 percent of the country’s confirmed cases have been linked to the Shincheonji Church of Jesus religious sect here.